What's with hurricane season?

[kerouac2]

Hanna decided to become a category 1 hurricane at the last minute.

[casimira]

Yes, packing a punch to Corpus Christie area as a Cat. 1.
Another separate one in the Pacific swacking Hawaii big island and perhaps Maui.
And yet another one on the Atlantic side TBC...too soon to tell.

[kerouac2]

Wet night in Brownsville and plenty of rain for northern Mexico, too.

[casimira]

I'm hoping it doesn't reek too much havoc with South Padres Island's already fragile ecosystem. 

[kerouac2]

Potential tropical storm 9 has not yet received the name Isaias, but it sounds very biblical to me. It might be coming to purify Florida of the scourge of the coronavirus on Sunday.

[casimira]

Yes, another one...
We' re still feeling the effects all the way here in NOLA of Hanna who for a Cat 1 certainly made a mess and Gulf Coast Texas saw a lot of flooding and other damage. 
Makes one realize how far reaching a "little" Cat 1 can reek havoc this far away.
It has been raining for 3 days straight here.

[kerouac2]

Maybe Josephine and Kyle will decide to meet up and do one of those cheap disaster movie events.

[casimira]

Aug 15, 2020 12:32:44 GMT kerouac2 said:

Maybe Josephine and Kyle will decide to meet up and do one of those cheap disaster movie events.

OH NO!!! 
I haven't heard about either of these yet. Must go and check the weather link...

[kerouac2]

Well, I was basically joking, but those terrible TV movies think that everything is possible if they can recycle old storm footage.

[Kimby]

I believe the latest two storms are supposed to fizzle their way out to sea far off the Atlantic Coast. No impact expected.

[casimira]

Two new tropical disturbances expected to form in the Caribbean by the weeks end. I guess we're now up to some name with an L.
This is the time of the year when I become most anxious.

[casimira]

On alert here for Tropical Disturbance #13 that's projected to head into the eastern part of the Gulf in the next four or five days.
If it becomes a hurricane she will be called "Laura".

[kerouac2]

It definitely looks like the Gulf of Mexico will be getting not one but two hurricanes. "Laura" has now received its official name but "Marco" is still waiting in the wings for his baptism.

And another tropical disturbance is brewing off the coast of Africa before going walkabout.

[casimira]

Yes, I just read the latest update on Tropical Storm Laura and all the models show her heading into the Gulf.
Our hope is that once she hits the Greater Antilles she rips apart with nothing to reorganize off once in the Gulf.

And, then there are the others...
I intentionally stop myself from reading about them as I get too "anxotic".

[bixaorellana]

Started raining here yesterday afternoon and went on all night. There is undoubtedly more in store, although my patio is getting some weak sunshine right now.

"There are two separate storms converging over southern Mexico this week. One storm has formed off the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in the Gulf of Mexico while the other is sitting just off the coast of Guatemala in the Pacific Ocean. The combined power of these two storms will produce heavy showers over southern Mexico, northern Guatemala and the Bay of Campeche. Expect flooding and mudslides, especially in the mountainous regions of Mexico and Guatemala.

Over the next three days expect rain totals in excess of six inches in some of the lime- and pineapple-growing regions in the Mexican states of Tabasco and Oaxaca.

The storm off the Pacific coast has the potential to become a tropical depression and possibly form a cyclone. This storm will continue in a west-northwest direction at approximately 10 miles per hour, hugging the coast of Mexico possibly bringing rain and wind to the other states along the Mexican coast over the next few days." source

[casimira]

I clicked onto that link Bixa and saw what you had quoted. But, then it skipped (in the same article!) into a rainfall prediction for Arkansas
and Georgia.
I guess we're not in Mexico anymore? Very bizarre.

[kerouac2]

Well, the current rain in some of northern Europe comes from the remnants of one of the previous storms that raced up the Gulf Stream.

[bixaorellana]

Aug 21, 2020 18:23:22 GMT casimira said:

skipped (in the same article!) into a rainfall prediction for Arkansas
and Georgia.

It's a general agricultural site. Go to the top of the page & you'll see what all it covers.

[casimira]

Sorry about that. In my haste to garner any and all up to date information I didn't take the time to see that.

With both these storms, Laura and Marco "out there" and the strong likelihood that they are headed our way I am trying to stay calm and focused.
The idea of two storms possibly converging in the midst of a global pandemic is mind boggling to me.
I'm not very good at "let's wait and see".

[Kimby]

I see you are angst-ing about hurricanes at the same time we are angst-ing about forest fires - AND hurricanes, since we have the Sanibel place to worry about.

At least we put on a new roof in February, and they used a lot more nails to hold it down.

Fingers crossed for all of us.

[kerouac2]

Marco is looking annoying. Hold on, casimira!

[casimira]

I am not looking forward to this event...I was rudely awakened at about 5am by the sound of an alert on my cellphone re Flash Flood Warning for this area blah, blah, blah.
My main concern is that the N.O. Sewerage and Water Board have all their pumps working. My thinking is that to date they are not all at full running capacity.
I haven't listened to the local news yet this a.m. but it will be on NPR in the next five minutes.

[casimira]

We just listened to the governor of LA with the latest update and my anxiety level is down at least 8 notches from yesterday. (He is the only politician here that I can bare listening to).
Yes, we will get a lot of rain, and there will be some winds but it is not some massive meteorological event that I had conjured up in my head this time yesterday.
And," Laura", it seems, is going to go further West of us more towards Texas.
That being said, it's not over until it's over.

[kerouac2]

Anyway, you still have about 24 hours to batten down the hatches if necessary. Tomorrow morning, the forecast will have become clearer.

[bixaorellana]

Is this not a beautiful picture?! This is the source, if you can slip in past the paywall: www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/08/24/marco-laura-gulf-storm-path/

Let's hope that between now and Wednesday or Thursday conditions will somehow weaken Laura.

[casimira]

WOW!!! Yes it is!!! (I could do without the scrawly lines included). I've always had a thing for spirals.

[Kimby]

Thinking of you Casinira, as the outer bands of Laura are pushing onto the gulf coast.

Hope you and yours will come through this storm intact. Please check in now and then, if you can, so we know you are okay.

[Kimby]

Just saw this on the StormCast forum:

Aug 26, 2020 15:26:18 GMT @lilspud said:

This says it all from the NHC.


1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will

cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to

Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes.

This surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate

coastline. Only a few hours remain to protect life and property and

all actions should be rushed to completion.

Sounds devastating, for those in the eye of this one. 😟

[bixaorellana]

I was just looking at the weather map and saw those warnings. That is very fragile coastline and could well be wiped out by this storm.

Current conditions: weather.com/weather/radar/interactive/l/33fa2c8f1cf13812c5592c7d47572a4fbee6bd2e370cf094c4373f2758bfe083

[kerouac2]

They already got wiped out by Hurricane Rita in 2005 and it was actually stronger than Katrina the same year.